民族旅游场域中新乡贤的成长路径与社区角色研究

乡村旅游发展推动了乡村社会关系的转变,创造了新乡贤培育的时代舞台。民族旅游场域培育出了多元化的乡贤结构,其中新乡贤可分为本土乡民类的"守土"乡贤、"返土"乡贤,以及旅游移民类的"外来"乡贤和"外籍"乡贤。尽管旅游新乡贤群体内部异质性较高,但持有不同经济、社会和文化资本的个体都实现了向综合精英型乡贤的多级跳跃及角色转换。新乡贤在民族旅游社区中扮演着文化传承者、创业示范者、社区融合者和文化传播者等多重角色。同时,多元社区角色间存在着一定的共性:对传统文化的保护与利用是旅游新乡贤的基本实践;经济能人是他们的成长基底;文化代理人的公益性与经济能人的代表性打开了新乡贤与政府沟通交流的渠道,承袭了传统社会"国家-士绅-民众"中的中介角色,践行了新时代背景下"双轨制"的乡村治理道路。     

习近平幸福观及其对青年成长的意义

习近平幸福观是习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想的重要组成部分,其核心目标是让人民过上幸福美好的生活。习近平幸福观是以人民为中心、为人民谋幸福的幸福观,是以个人的、社会的和生态的全面进步为主旨的幸福观,是以新的发展理念解决中国发展不平衡不充分问题的幸福观,是借鉴各国人类文明、着眼于构建人类命运共同体的幸福观。弘扬习近平幸福观是实现中国梦的重要途径,对新时代青年成长具有积极意义。     

新时代人的全面发展的制约因素与实现路径

实现人的全面发展是马克思主义的最高价值目标,是中国共产党人和中国人民的不懈追求。新时代中国的发展取得了显著成就,在经济、政治、文化、社会以及生态五个方面为人的全面发展提供了有利条件。但是,人民日益增长的美好生活需要和不平衡不充分的发展之间的矛盾制约了人的全面发展。为更好地推动人的全面发展,需要实现经济高质量发展,建设社会主义民主政治,繁荣社会主义文化,保障和改善民生,建设社会主义生态文明。这对加快中国特色社会主义建设、实现社会全面进步和促进人的全面发展具有重要意义。     

澳大利亚文化产业发展对天津滨海新区的启示与借鉴

文化产业现在已成为一个国家综合国力和国际竞争力的重要组成部分。对比澳大利亚政府和天津滨海新区发展文化创意产业的成功经验,以更好地理解文化产业发展对于传统文化传承创新及民族文化复兴的重要性,推动滨海新区的文化产业在有效政策的支持下真正实现创新发展,在全球化背景下拓展发展新思路。     

Ranking terrorists in networks: A sensitivity analysis of Al Qaeda's 9/11 attack

All over the world, intelligence services are collecting data concerning possible terrorist threats. This information is usually transformed into network structures in which the nodes represent the individuals in the data set and the links possible connections between these individuals. Unfortunately, it is nearly impossible to keep track of all individuals in the resulting complex network. Therefore, Lindelauf et al. (2013) introduced a methodology that ranks terrorists in a network. The rankings that result from this methodology can be used as a decision support system to efficiently allocate the scarce surveillance means of intelligence agencies. Moreover, usage of these rankings can improve the quality of surveillance which can in turn lead to prevention of attacks or destabilization of the networks under surveillance.The methodology introduced by Lindelauf et al. (2013) is based on a game theoretic centrality measure, which is innovative in the sense that it takes into account not only the structure of the network but also individual and coalitional characteristics of the members of the network. In this paper we elaborate on this methodology by introducing a new game theoretic centrality measure that better takes into account the operational strength of connected subnetworks.Moreover, we perform a sensitivity analysis on the rankings derived from this new centrality measure for the case of Al Qaeda's 9/11 attack. In this sensitivity analysis we consider firstly the possible additional information available about members of the network, secondly, variations in relational strength and, finally, the absence or presence of a small percentage of links in the network. We also introduce a case specific method to compare the different rankings that result from the sensitivity analysis and show that the new centrality measure is robust to small changes in the data.     

Family Structure and Quality of Life of Elders in Rural China: The Role of the New Rural Social Pension

Using data from a survey in Ankang district of Shaanxi province of China in 2011, this article examines the protective effect of the New Rural Social Pension (NRSP) on quality of life of rural elders, as well the moderating effect on association between family structure and quality of life. An instrumental variable approach is used. NRSP is shown to significantly improve the quality of life of rural elders, and a robustness check shows that this effect is consistent across different sets of subgroups. Compared with the elders who have at least one son, the quality of life of those who are childless or have only one child is significantly lower. The NRSP is more likely to significantly improve the quality of life of one-child elders. In addition, the associations between the NRSP and the different facets of quality of life of the elders are significant except for the facet of sensory abilities.     

‘I’m not really sure but I hope it’s better’: early thoughts of parents and carers in a regional trial site for the Australian National Disability Insurance Scheme

The National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) is one of the most significant initiatives in Australian social policy history. Its complexity has been compounded by a fast-paced introduction and ongoing refinement throughout the initial trial phase. Parents and carers of very young disabled children face particular challenges accessing and navigating NDIS systems. This article presents findings from a mixed-method pilot study examining the perspectives of parents and carers of disabled children in one NDIS trial site – the Hunter Region of New South Wales. The research highlights a number of policy assumptions potentially impacting on NDIS take up for young disabled children and their families in regional contexts. Based on research findings a number of policy suggestions and improvements for disabled children and their families entering the NDIS and other individualised funding schemes are outlined.     

An online copy number variant detection method for short sequencing reads

The availability of the next generation sequencing (NGS) technology in today's biomedical research has provided new opportunities in scientific discovery of genetic information. The high-throughput NGS technology, especially DNA-seq, is particularly useful in profiling a genome for the analysis of DNA copy number variants (CNVs). The read count (RC) data resulting from NGS technology are massive and information rich. How to exploit the RC data for accurate CNV detection has become a computational and statistical challenge. We provide a statistical online change point method to help detect CNVs in the sequencing RC data in this paper. This method uses the idea of online searching for change point (or breakpoint) with a Markov chain assumption on the breakpoints loci and an iterative computing process via a Bayesian framework. We illustrate that an online change-point detection method is particularly suitable for identifying CNVs in the RC data. The algorithm is applied to the publicly available NCI-H2347 lung cancer cell line sequencing reads data for locating the breakpoints. Extensive simulation studies have been carried out and results show the good behavior of the proposed algorithm. The algorithm is implemented in R and the codes are available upon request.     

Measures of Association and Visualization of Log Odds Ratio Structure for a Two Way Contingency Table

The odds ratio (OR) is a measure of association used for analysing an I × J contingency table. The total number of ORs to check grows with I and J. Several statistical methods have been developed for summarising them. These methods begin from two different starting points, the I × J contingency table and the two‐way table composed by the ORs. In this paper we focus our attention on the relationship between these methods and point out that, for an exhaustive analysis of association through log ORs, it is necessary to consider all the outcomes of these methods. We also introduce some new methodological and graphical features. In order to illustrate previously used methodologies, we consider a data table of the cross‐classification of the colour of eyes and hair of 5387 children from Scotland. We point out how, through the log OR analysis, it is possible to extract useful information about the association between variables.     

双重赋形的新诗阐释学实践--评肖学周博士新著《为新诗赋形》

重新审视新诗的精神遗产是诗歌研究界不可回避的问题,肖学周新著《为新诗赋形》直面新诗语言问题,以闻一多为个案,全面系统地梳理了闻一多诗歌语言的多方面的特征,厘定闻一多新诗创作的历史地位与现实意义。在方法论上体现为对新诗赋形的理论赋形,即双重赋形,这一新诗阐释学实践无疑具有积极的启示。